Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 12.640619 14.222401 15.997506 18.151427 20.713552 23.688091 27.438540
2025-07-13 11.525732 13.792401 16.562803 20.257662 25.149989 31.546330 40.789025
2025-07-20 10.417561 12.967191 16.261744 20.946523 27.638929 37.198017 52.583224
2025-07-27 9.212683 11.785917 15.243961 20.394917 28.182951 40.097177 61.030778
2025-08-03 8.647840 11.357098 15.138724 21.036543 30.483367 46.015749 76.066127
2025-08-10 7.935445 10.627863 14.495250 20.744208 31.219811 49.484657 87.833792
2025-08-17 7.344607 10.005283 13.924059 20.458466 31.874414 52.896494 100.669414
2025-08-24 6.876064 9.514030 13.490210 20.318538 32.727208 56.831349 116.191879
2025-08-31 6.392088 8.955707 12.892697 19.818767 32.824628 59.265145 129.166345
2025-09-07 6.031042 8.555852 12.506526 19.628745 33.462252 62.964655 147.227371
2025-09-14 5.578197 7.979424 11.784115 18.757504 32.618867 63.185205 155.482333
2025-09-21 5.160943 7.433378 11.071610 17.832615 31.536521 62.631887 161.220022
2025-09-28 4.815462 6.994510 10.528234 17.208678 31.084956 63.739415 174.092677
2025-10-05 4.933637 7.316074 11.304026 19.174718 36.580424 81.670411 263.741057
2025-10-12 4.825944 7.252115 11.397425 19.813773 39.229439 93.024887 341.404504
2025-10-19 4.561249 6.904169 10.952457 19.301715 39.025372 95.831300 380.274633
2025-10-26 4.470405 6.848182 11.034087 19.897344 41.699095 108.877588 499.411367
2025-11-02 4.273568 6.594888 10.728656 19.626023 42.077909 114.355037 579.899042
2025-11-09 4.092736 6.359519 10.440137 19.360728 42.430285 119.949362 674.741457
2025-11-16 3.941410 6.168278 10.222452 19.230778 43.140882 127.298157 806.401981
2025-11-23 3.762299 5.917830 9.873661 18.766463 42.817551 130.410098 905.916612
2025-11-30 3.627346 5.740845 9.657668 18.589846 43.317627 137.344257 1078.871673
2025-12-07 3.432278 5.445317 9.190386 17.779516 41.780130 134.649366 1114.088750